05/06/2026
At 11:30am, SPC made a slight shift south with the enhanced risk (level 3 of 5). That makes sense as high resolution data is hinting at the higher severe parameters setting up a little further south compared to data yesterday.
Keep in mind, our entire area is still in a risk of severe weather this afternoon and evening.
Here’s the thoughts for this event…
Strong to severe storms will begin to develop across northwest Alabama shortly after 1pm. A few supercell storms will likely develop across east Mississippi during the early afternoon, then spreading into west Alabama.
The cells will likely merge into a large line of heavy rain and thunderstorms this evening, ending from northwest to southeast overnight.
Storms will be capable of producing tornadoes, hail and damaging winds. The Storm Prediction Center has most of west Alabama outlined in a risk of an isolated strong tornado or two.
Flooding is also a concern, especially near and south of I-20. Rain amounts of 2” to 4”.
Here’s the timeline per our west Alabama Counties…
2pm - 8pm for northwest Pickens, Lamar, Marion, Winston, Fayette and northwest Walker County.
4pm - 10pm for Pickens, Tuscaloosa, southeast Fayette, Walker, Sumter, Greene, Hale, northwest Bibb County.
4pm - 12am for Marengo, Choctaw, southeast Hale, Perry and southeast Bibb County.
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